MTI
4-Star Dodgers -140 over Rays - Blake Snell beat the Dodgers in game two of this series, but the Dodgers are 9-0 at home after playing as a road favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:F and oS:W and oS:season=season and date>=20170922
The Dodgers are also 12-0 SU at home after a game as a road favorite in which Justin Turner was hitless in at least three at bats but did not have multiple strikeouts. The SDQL here is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:AF and Justin Turner
:hits = 0 and Justin Turner
:SO<2 and date>=20161000
As for the Rays, we find that they are 0-24 on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits and left more than six men on base. The SDQL text is:
team=Rays and A and p:HD and p:SO>p:hits and p:LOB>6
We are on the Dodgers.
4.5-Star Dodgers and Rays Over 8 Since the start of the 2019 season, the Dodgers are 8-0 OU at home off a road game in which they had more strikeouts than hits and the opponents starter has an ERA higher than 2.50. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:SO>p:hits and o:STDSERA > 2.5 and season >= 2019
Blake Snell beat the Dodgers in game two of this series holding them to two hits while striking out nine. This activates an interesting starter-based OU indicator. The Rays are 8-0 OU with Snell when they won his last start vs their opponent while holding them to fewer than six hits and they won his last start. The SDQL text is:
team=Rays and starter=Blake Snell and S:W and s:W and S:SHA<6 and date>=20190600
In these eight starts, Snell has averaged 4.62 innings of work and has a WHIP of 1.41. The Dodgers offense knows that Gonsolin needs run support and we expect theyll give it to him.
We make the Over the play.