5-STAR Tennessee and Indianapolis Under 52 This is a quick rematch from when these teams played just two weeks ago in a game where Indianapolis dominated the second half. The Colts also dominated the second half last game against the Packers in a comeback win. We expect this to be a game where Indianapolis is able to play with a lead and control the clock in this game.
Tennessee picked up a huge overtime win over Baltimore last week, 30-24. They got a couple of big performances from the skill positions. Derrick Henry ran for 133 yards while Corey Davis had 133 receiving yards. Teams that had both a 110+ yard rusher and receiver last game are 118-163-9 OU.
Tennessees pass defense played significantly better in that game than any recent game, holding Baltimore to just 177 passing yards. Teams that allowed at least 50 fewer passing yards last game than any of their past eight games (dating back to last season) are
193-237-12 OU.
Indianapolis defeated Green Bay last week, 34-31 in overtime. The Colts defense really found something in the second half. They gave up 28 points in the first half but just three in the second half in a huge comeback win. Teams that allowed at least 21 points more in the first half than the second half of their last game are 134-191-7 OU.
Indianapolis came back from a 14-point deficit in that game, not all that dissimilar to their win over Tennessee where they overcame a pair of 7-point deficits. Teams coming off back-to-back wins where they trailed by 7+ points last game and also trailed two games ago are 187-236-7 OU (p:W and po:BL>=7 and pp:W and ppo:BL>0).
Against Green Bay, the Colts had to air things out after they got behind. They threw for 280 yards in a game they picked up 23 first downs. The Colts are 0-13 OU (-11.81 ppg) since Nov 23, 2014 at home coming off a game where they threw for at least 245 yards and gained no more than 25 first downs (team=Colts and H and p
assing yards>=245 and p:first downs<=25 and date>=20141123).
Philip Rivers threw for all three of the Colts touchdowns in that game but such a big scoring day has been had for Rivers to duplicate. Teams are 0-14-1 OU (-8.77 ppg) since Nov 22, 2010 at home when the total is at least 44 coming off a game where Philip Rivers threw for at least three touchdowns (H and total >44 and Philip Rivers
assing touchdowns>=3 and date>=20101122).
The rest of Indianapolis scoring came on field goals as the Colts attempted five and made four of them. Teams which attempted at least five field goals last game are 133-172-5 OU.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS 23, Tennessee 17