262 PIT -3.0(-110) Southpoint vs 261 CLE double-dime bet
Analysis: Power Rating wise, this line is close to what it should be, but the market isn't properly accounting for the plus matchups the Steelers have on both sides of the ball.
Reports say Baker Mayfield may not only be dealing with a rib issue, but he could be dealing with a sprained AC joint as well. Mayfield has struggled all season against pressure (he is 38th in the NFL in YPA under pressure), and no team in the NFL applies pressure at a higher rate then the Steelers. The run first Browns likely will not be able to run against the leagues best second best run defense (3.3 YPC allowed YTD), putting Mayfield in harms way against this pass rush.
Pittsburgh’s line has given up the league’s seventh-lowest Sack Rate (4.0%) and third-lowest QB Hit Rate (9.4%), troublesome for the Browns, who rely on their pass rush to hide a weak secondary that has allowed the leagues third most passing touchdowns per game.
The Browns have lost in incredible sixteen straight games in Pittsburgh. Yes, this is a new Browns team, but I still believe the Steelers are the class of their rivalry.
Analysis: Power Rating wise, this line is close to what it should be, but the market isn't properly accounting for the plus matchups the Steelers have on both sides of the ball.
Reports say Baker Mayfield may not only be dealing with a rib issue, but he could be dealing with a sprained AC joint as well. Mayfield has struggled all season against pressure (he is 38th in the NFL in YPA under pressure), and no team in the NFL applies pressure at a higher rate then the Steelers. The run first Browns likely will not be able to run against the leagues best second best run defense (3.3 YPC allowed YTD), putting Mayfield in harms way against this pass rush.
Pittsburgh’s line has given up the league’s seventh-lowest Sack Rate (4.0%) and third-lowest QB Hit Rate (9.4%), troublesome for the Browns, who rely on their pass rush to hide a weak secondary that has allowed the leagues third most passing touchdowns per game.
The Browns have lost in incredible sixteen straight games in Pittsburgh. Yes, this is a new Browns team, but I still believe the Steelers are the class of their rivalry.